When will SpaceXAI reach pole position versus OpenAI and Anthropic? (asked on X)

Q743 answers2026asked on 𝕏
Short answer

He said he is cautiously optimistic SpaceX will have a Fable/GPT-6 level model in 2 to 3 months.

From his 2026-09-24 answer in @elonmusk on X. Summary is ours; see the quotes below.

All 3 answers, oldest to newest

𝕏 post · 2026-07-09 · @elonmusk on X · open post ·
Says he was clearly wrong about Anthropic: it is currently the leader in AI, and no one has released a model as good as Mythos/Fable.
"I was clearly wrong about Anthropic. They are obviously currently the leader in AI."
𝕏 post · 2026-09-24 · @elonmusk on X · asked by @vasalex93 · open post ·
He said SpaceX's AI effort is 3 years old vs 6 and 10 for Anthropic and OpenAI; if the second derivative stays strong, SpaceX will reach pole position in about 6 months. Extra intelligence past what's needed for a task is pointless; hardware/compute scale is hard and SpaceX is good at it.
"1. We will keep accelerating. Our AI efforts are only 3 years old, vs 6 and 10 years old for Anthropic and OpenAI. If our second derivative remains strong, SpaceX will reach pole position in about 6 months. 2. Once you far exceed the caliber of intelligence needed for a class of tasks, additional intelligence is pointless. You don’t need (and it would be cruel to put) Newton-level intelligence in your toaster! 3. Hardware is hard. Bringing massive compute online rapidly is incredibly difficult. SpaceX has demonstrated exceptional ability in this regard and will only get better."
𝕏 post · 2026-09-24 · @elonmusk on X · open post ·
He said he is cautiously optimistic SpaceX will have a Fable/GPT-6 level model in 2 to 3 months.
"I am cautiously optimistic that SpaceX will have a Fable/GPT-6 level model in 2 to 3 months"

Last updated: 2026-09-24 (newest answer).

Spotted a mistake? Report it: tell us on X (@ElonsFAQ). Please mention Q74.

Related questions