He guessed Semi scale production in about 18 months to two years.
"I'm guessing that we, we probably reach scale production on the semi in about two years, maybe 18 months, but probably about two years"
When will the Tesla Semi reach volume production?
Q13610 answers2017-2026
Short answer
He said Semi was in low-volume production and he had just approved plans for volume production.
All 10 answers, oldest to newest
At the Semi unveil he said production begins in 2019.
"And production begins 2019"
Says Tesla has been mired in production and logistics and he is looking forward to getting Semi into production.
"We’ve been so mired in production & logistics for past 18 months. Really looking fwd to getting Semi into production."
In January 2020 he said the Semi uses so many battery cells that speeding up its production would mean making fewer Model 3s and Model Ys.
"that's part of the reason why we have not, for example, really accelerated production of the Tesla semi because it does use a lot of cells. And unless we've got a lot of battery cells available, then say, like accelerating production of the Tesla semi would then necessarily mean making fewer Model 3 or Model Y cars."
Says the Battery Day technology affects long-term production, especially Semi, but will not reach serious high-volume production until 2022.
"This affects long-term production, especially Semi, Cybertruck & Roadster, but what we announce will not reach serious high-volume production until 2022."
In October 2020 he said battery cell supply was the only real constraint and had to be solved before the Semi could ramp to significant volume.
"So we need to solve the cell constraint before ramping semi to significant volume."
Says demand is not the problem; near-term battery cell supply limits Semi scale, easing the following year.
"Demand is no problem, but near-term cell supply makes it hard to scale Semi. This limitation will be less onerous next year."
He said Roadster and Semi would be in production the next year (2023).
"Next year will be a production with the Roadster and with semi"
He said Semi was in low-volume production and he had just approved plans for volume production.
"we're in low volume production of the Tesla semi and just last week I approved the plans for volume production of the Tesla semi"
Says Tesla Semi starts high volume production in 2026.
"Tesla Semi starts high volume production this year"